Calvin Kattar vs Ricardo Lamas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record20-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Carlos Neto BJJTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Ricardo Lamas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Calvin Kattar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1710
If they lose-11→ 1686
If they win+11→ 1741
If they lose-13→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Calvin KattarRicardo Lamas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricardo Lamas57%
Calvin Kattar 43%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lamas a 57% favorite over Calvin Kattar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Ricardo Lamas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1697, a 33-point edge.
Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Calvin Kattar finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.
Calvin Kattar and Ricardo Lamas share 2 common opponents: Josh Emmett and Max Holloway.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.