Cam Rowston vs Robert Bryczek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record18-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
78"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
VT1 Martial Arts AcademyTeamVeto Team Bielsko-Biala
What's at stake
Cam Rowston is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Robert Bryczek carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1729
If they lose-18→ 1697
If they win+18→ 1679
If they lose-14→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cam RowstonRobert Bryczek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cam Rowston70%
Robert Bryczek 30%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Cam Rowston a 70% favorite over Robert Bryczek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Cam Rowston holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1661, a 54-point edge.
Cam Rowston enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Cam Rowston finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Robert Bryczek 72%.
Cam Rowston carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.