Combat Edge Intelligence

Cam Rowston vs Robert Bryczek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cam Rowston
au

Cam Rowston

“Battle Giraffe”

15-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1718Good

Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record18-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
78"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

Cam Rowston is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Robert Bryczek carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cam RowstonNow 1718
If they win+13→ 1731
If they lose-19→ 1699
Robert BryczekNow 1661
If they win+19→ 1680
If they lose-13→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.60
Sig. strikes / min
2.80
49%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.51
52%
Strike defense
55%
1.34
Takedown avg.
0.36
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
33%
Takedown defense
71%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Cam RowstonRobert Bryczek
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
6 (40%)
Submission
1 (6%)
2 (13%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Cam Rowston64%
Robert Bryczek 36%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Cam Rowston a 64% favorite over Robert Bryczek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Cam Rowston holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1661, a 57-point edge.

Cam Rowston enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Cam Rowston finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Robert Bryczek 72%.

Cam Rowston carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.