Cameron Graves vs Kaecy Raddon
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Cameron Graves58%
Kaecy Raddon 42%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Graves a 58% favorite over Kaecy Raddon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kaecy Raddon's way (46%).
Kaecy Raddon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1541 to 1512, a 29-point edge.
Cameron Graves enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cameron Graves finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Kaecy Raddon 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record6-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
-Reach-
150 lbsWeight156 lbs
Gracie Barra The Woodlands· 1523 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Kaecy Raddon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Cameron Graves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1525
If they lose-11→ 1501
If they win+22→ 1563
If they lose-26→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cameron GravesKaecy Raddon