Cameron Graves vs Kaecy Raddon

DateOct 2, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMinot Air Force Base

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 2, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Fri 6:15 PM
US West (PT): Fri 3:15 PM
United Kingdom: Fri 11:15 PM
Central Europe: Sat 12:15 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 8:15 AM
Your time

Cameron GravesCamikaze |14-10-0Cameron Graves vs Kaecy RaddonKaecy RaddonCaveman |5-3-0

Cameron GravesCamikaze14-10-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

14-10-0Record5-3-0

32Age34

5'11"Height5'11"

-Reach-

150 lbsWeight156 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Kaecy RaddonCaveman5-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Cameron Graves owns a 6-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Cameron Graves and Kaecy Raddon across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Cameron GravesKaecy Raddon

Recent form

Cameron GravesL L L W W · -40 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Kaecy RaddonL L W W L · -55 Elo last 5

LLWWL

Elo edge

Cameron Graves1522-22 last move

Kaecy Raddon1516-34 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

45%Cameron Graves55%Kaecy Raddon

Model favoriteKaecy Raddon

Elo baseline49% for Kaecy Raddon

Matchup adjustment+6 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Kaecy RaddonStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Kaecy Raddon is 55%, after Elo alone favored Cameron Graves at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1522 · 1516Cameron Graves leads by 6 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1515 · 1490Cameron Graves faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 8 sampled fights).

Elo record depth24 · 8 fightsCameron Graves has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Cameron GravesvsKaecy Raddon

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Cameron GravesKO/TKO leads 57% of wins

Kaecy RaddonKO/TKO leads 40% of wins

Common opponents

Cody FreemanCameron Graves: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jun 22, 2025Kaecy Raddon: loss · TKO (Doctor Stoppage) · Jun 26, 2026

Tale of the tape

Cameron GravesKaecy Raddon

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.69

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

8Wins by knockout2

0Wins by submission2

6Wins by decision1

6Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission2

4Losses by decision0

Cameron Graves vs Kaecy Raddon is a scheduled Lightweight fight on FURY FC 125 : FIGHT FORCE. Cameron Graves enters with a 14-10-0 record and Kaecy Raddon enters with a 5-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.