Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Smotherman vs James Barnes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record14-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69"Reach39,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight Club· 1615 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cameron SmothermanNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
James BarnesNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
0.57
37%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
59%
Strike defense
39%
0
Takedown avg.
1.08
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
63%
Takedown defense
40%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cameron SmothermanJames Barnes
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
1 (8%)
Submission
11 (79%)
5 (42%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Cameron Smotherman53%
James Barnes 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Smotherman a 53% favorite over James Barnes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James Barnes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1604), separated by just 2 points.

Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

James Barnes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, James Barnes 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.