Camila Reynoso vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record16-10-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
63"Reach 64"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
ADM Sports CenterTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Camila ReynosoKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karolina Kowalkiewicz53%
Camila Reynoso 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Karolina Kowalkiewicz a 53% favorite over Camila Reynoso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Camila Reynoso's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Camila Reynoso finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Karolina Kowalkiewicz 25%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.