Camillo Avellan vs Leo Bonin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-0-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach69.7"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
H2O MMA· 1649 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBlack Dragon Martial Arts & Fitness
What's at stake
Camillo Avellan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Leo Bonin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1645
If they lose-26→ 1597
If they win+26→ 1615
If they lose-22→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Camillo AvellanLeo Bonin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Camillo Avellan and Leo Bonin within a point of even.
Camillo Avellan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1589, a 34-point edge.
Camillo Avellan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Leo Bonin enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Camillo Avellan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Leo Bonin 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.