Canon Swanson vs Mickael Lebout
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Canon Swanson56%
Mickael Lebout 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Canon Swanson a 56% favorite over Mickael Lebout in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mickael Lebout's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.
Canon Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Canon Swanson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mickael Lebout 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
6-1-1Record23-12-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Academy of Combat Arts· 1573 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamObyfight· 1580 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1643
If they lose-24→ 1595
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Canon SwansonMickael Lebout