Combat Edge Intelligence

Caolán Loughran vs Nathan Fletcher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KaobonTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caolán LoughranNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Nathan FletcherNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
45%
Strike accuracy
60%
5.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
55%
Strike defense
58%
5
Takedown avg.
3.37
42%
Takedown accuracy
31%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Caolán LoughranNathan Fletcher
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
3 (27%)
Submission
7 (64%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Caolán Loughran and Nathan Fletcher within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1654), separated by just 6 points.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Caolán Loughran finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Fletcher 82%.

Nathan Fletcher carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.