Caolán Loughran vs Jake Hadley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team KaobonTeamTeam Fearless
What's at stake
Caolán Loughran is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jake Hadley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1675
If they lose-17→ 1643
If they win+17→ 1657
If they lose-15→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Caolán LoughranJake Hadley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Caolán Loughran and Jake Hadley within a point of even.
Caolán Loughran holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1640, a 20-point edge.
Jake Hadley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Caolán Loughran finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jake Hadley 75%.
Caolán Loughran and Jake Hadley share 1 common opponent: Taylor Lapilus.
Jake Hadley carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.