Caolán Loughran vs Nathan Fletcher
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KaobonTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caolán LoughranNathan Fletcher
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caolán Loughran52%
Nathan Fletcher 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Caolán Loughran a 52% favorite over Nathan Fletcher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nathan Fletcher's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1658), separated by just 7 points.
Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Caolán Loughran finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Fletcher 82%.
Nathan Fletcher carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.