Combat Edge Intelligence

Cara Greenwell vs Juliana Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record10-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
69"Reach65.50
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Team Impact TulsaTeamGracie Barra BH

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cara GreenwellNow 1527
If they win+24→ 1551
If they lose-24→ 1503
Juliana LimaNow 1524
If they win+16→ 1540
If they lose-16→ 1508

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.94
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.11
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.72
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cara GreenwellJuliana Lima
15001550201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
1 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (80%)

Combat Edge model read

Cara Greenwell70%
Juliana Lima 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cara Greenwell a 70% favorite over Juliana Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1524), separated by just 3 points.

Cara Greenwell finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Juliana Lima 20%.

Cara Greenwell carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.