Combat Edge Intelligence

Carl Deaton vs Hussain Al Kurdi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carl Deaton
us

Carl Deaton

“The Anishinaabe Kid”

17-7-0LightweightUFC

1583Solid

Tale of the tape

17-7-0Record3-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'11"
69,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Academy MNTeamKHK MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carl DeatonNow 1583
If they win+12→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1571
Hussain Al KurdiNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.53
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
32%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carl DeatonHussain Al Kurdi
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
9 (53%)
Submission
2 (67%)
5 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Hussain Al Kurdi60%
Carl Deaton 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hussain Al Kurdi a 60% favorite over Carl Deaton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carl Deaton's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1582), separated by just 1 points.

Carl Deaton enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hussain Al Kurdi enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Carl Deaton finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Hussain Al Kurdi 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.