Carl Deaton vs Joe Solecki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
69,0"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Joe Solecki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Carl Deaton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1598
If they lose-9→ 1574
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-20→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carl DeatonJoe Solecki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Solecki70%
Carl Deaton 30%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Solecki a 70% favorite over Carl Deaton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Joe Solecki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1583, a 84-point edge.
Carl Deaton enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carl Deaton finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Joe Solecki 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.