Carl Deaton vs Shay Ingram
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record5-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
69,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Academy MNTeamTeam Renegade BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1571
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carl DeatonShay Ingram
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shay Ingram64%
Carl Deaton 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shay Ingram a 64% favorite over Carl Deaton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carl Deaton's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1582), separated by just 1 points.
Carl Deaton enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carl Deaton finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Shay Ingram 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.