Carla Esparza vs Jéssica Andrade
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record26-15-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'1"Height5'2"
63"Reach62"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team OyamaTeamParana Vale Tudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carla EsparzaJéssica Andrade
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jéssica Andrade58%
Carla Esparza 42%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jéssica Andrade a 58% favorite over Carla Esparza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1661), separated by just 4 points.
Carla Esparza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carla Esparza finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Jéssica Andrade 69%.
Carla Esparza and Jéssica Andrade share 3 common opponents: Xiaonan Yan, Marina Rodriguez and Tatiana Suarez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.