Carla Esparza vs Lupita Godinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record14-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height5'2"
63"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team OyamaTeamLobo Gym MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carla EsparzaLupita Godinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lupita Godinez70%
Carla Esparza 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Lupita Godinez a 70% favorite over Carla Esparza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1667), separated by just 10 points.
Carla Esparza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carla Esparza finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Lupita Godinez 21%.
Carla Esparza and Lupita Godinez share 2 common opponents: Virna Jandiroba and Tatiana Suarez.
Carla Esparza carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.