Combat Edge Intelligence

Carli Judice vs Gabriella Fernandes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record11-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carli JudiceNow 1623
If they win+23→ 1646
If they lose-25→ 1598
Gabriella FernandesNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

9.32
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
51%
Strike accuracy
48%
6.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
57%
Strike defense
52%
0.52
Takedown avg.
0.44
25%
Takedown accuracy
18%
81%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Carli JudiceGabriella Fernandes
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (27%)
1 (17%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Carli Judice60%
Gabriella Fernandes 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 60% favorite over Gabriella Fernandes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1614), separated by just 9 points.

Carli Judice enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Carli Judice finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Gabriella Fernandes 55%.

Carli Judice carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.