Carli Judice vs Gabriella Fernandes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record11-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Carli Judice is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Gabriella Fernandes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1675
If they lose-27→ 1627
If they win+18→ 1632
If they lose-14→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carli JudiceGabriella Fernandes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carli Judice81%
Gabriella Fernandes 19%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 81% favorite over Gabriella Fernandes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Carli Judice holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1614, a 40-point edge.
Carli Judice enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Carli Judice finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Gabriella Fernandes 55%.
Carli Judice carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.