Carlos Candelario vs Daniel Barez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach66"
129 lbsWeight125 lbs
Underdog Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos CandelarioDaniel Barez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Barez55%
Carlos Candelario 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Barez a 55% favorite over Carlos Candelario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1595), separated by just 1 points.
Carlos Candelario enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Daniel Barez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlos Candelario finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Barez 76%.
Carlos Candelario and Daniel Barez share 1 common opponent: Victor Altamirano.
Carlos Candelario carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.