Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Candelario vs Malik Basahel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record4-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach67"
129 lbsWeight125 lbs
Underdog Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamAsylum Vale Tudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos CandelarioNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Malik BasahelNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.97
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
2.28
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
54%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.28
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carlos CandelarioMalik Basahel
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
3 (38%)
Submission
1 (25%)
3 (38%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Malik Basahel66%
Carlos Candelario 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Malik Basahel a 66% favorite over Carlos Candelario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1616), separated by just 2 points.

Carlos Candelario enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Malik Basahel enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Carlos Candelario finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Malik Basahel 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.