Carlos Condit vs Court McGee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-14-0Record22-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamFactory X
What's at stake
Carlos Condit is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Court McGee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1738
If they lose-16→ 1714
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-8→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos ConditCourt McGee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Condit72%
Court McGee 28%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Condit a 72% favorite over Court McGee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Carlos Condit holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1600, a 130-point edge.
Carlos Condit finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Court McGee 50%.
Carlos Condit and Court McGee share 2 common opponents: Matt Brown and Michael Chiesa.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.