Carlos Felipe vs Mohammed Usman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75,0"Reach79"
245 lbsWeight237 lbs
Life MMA· 1593 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamWar Room Kickboxing & MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos FelipeMohammed Usman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Felipe62%
Mohammed Usman 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Felipe a 62% favorite over Mohammed Usman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mohammed Usman's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.
Carlos Felipe finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mohammed Usman 55%.
Carlos Felipe and Mohammed Usman share 1 common opponent: Jake Collier.
Mohammed Usman carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.