Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Hernandez vs Denys Bondar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record14-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
VFS AcademyTeamYod

What's at stake

Carlos Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Denys Bondar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos HernandezNow 1627
If they win+15→ 1642
If they lose-17→ 1610
Denys BondarNow 1610
If they win+17→ 1627
If they lose-15→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.90
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
46%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.16
51%
Strike defense
57%
1.60
Takedown avg.
3.99
21%
Takedown accuracy
58%
68%
Takedown defense
63%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos HernandezDenys Bondar
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
4 (40%)
Submission
10 (71%)
6 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Hernandez60%
Denys Bondar 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Hernandez a 60% favorite over Denys Bondar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Carlos Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1610, a 17-point edge.

Denys Bondar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Carlos Hernandez finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Denys Bondar 100%.

Denys Bondar carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.