Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Hernandez vs Jimmy Flick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jimmy Flick
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Jimmy Flick

“The Brick”

17-9-0FlyweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record17-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
VFS AcademyTeamThunderkick Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos HernandezNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Jimmy FlickNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.90
Sig. strikes / min
1.94
46%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.43
51%
Strike defense
43%
1.60
Takedown avg.
1.55
21%
Takedown accuracy
22%
68%
Takedown defense
0%
0.18
Submission avg.
4.34

Trajectory

Carlos HernandezJimmy Flick
165020242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Submission
15 (88%)
6 (60%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Hernandez63%
Jimmy Flick 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Hernandez a 63% favorite over Jimmy Flick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1625), separated by just 2 points.

Jimmy Flick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlos Hernandez finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Jimmy Flick 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.