Carlos Hernandez vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record10-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
What's at stake
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Carlos Hernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1647
If they lose-13→ 1615
If they win+13→ 1704
If they lose-19→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos HernandezNyamjargal Tumendemberel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel72%
Carlos Hernandez 28%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Nyamjargal Tumendemberel a 72% favorite over Carlos Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1628, a 63-point edge.
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carlos Hernandez finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 80%.
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.