Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Hernandez vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record10-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
VFS AcademyTeamASM BJJ Association

What's at stake

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Carlos Hernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos HernandezNow 1627
If they win+19→ 1646
If they lose-13→ 1614
Nyamjargal TumendemberelNow 1692
If they win+13→ 1705
If they lose-19→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
46%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
51%
Strike defense
53%
1.60
Takedown avg.
3.10
21%
Takedown accuracy
39%
68%
Takedown defense
55%
0.18
Submission avg.
2.65

Trajectory

Carlos HernandezNyamjargal Tumendemberel
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
4 (40%)
Submission
6 (60%)
6 (60%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel76%
Carlos Hernandez 24%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Nyamjargal Tumendemberel a 76% favorite over Carlos Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1627, a 65-point edge.

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carlos Hernandez finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 80%.

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.