Carlos Hernandez vs Tatsuro Taira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
VFS AcademyTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1645 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Tatsuro Taira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Carlos Hernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1651
If they lose-9→ 1619
If they win+9→ 1801
If they lose-23→ 1769
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos HernandezTatsuro Taira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tatsuro Taira87%
Carlos Hernandez 13%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Tatsuro Taira a 87% favorite over Carlos Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Tatsuro Taira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1792 to 1628, a 164-point edge.
Carlos Hernandez finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuro Taira 78%.
Carlos Hernandez and Tatsuro Taira share 1 common opponent: Hyun Sung Park.
Tatsuro Taira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.