Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Mota vs Jaime Alvarez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record8-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pr1meira FightTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos MotaNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Jaime AlvarezNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
2.73
41%
Strike accuracy
40%
1.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.53
54%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
50%
1
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos MotaJaime Alvarez
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
4 (50%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Mota70%
Jaime Alvarez 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Mota a 70% favorite over Jaime Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1591), separated by just 1 points.

Carlos Mota enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jaime Alvarez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlos Mota finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jaime Alvarez 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.