Carlos Petruzzella vs Jordan Zébo
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Petruzzella52%
Jordan Zébo 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Petruzzella a 52% favorite over Jordan Zébo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jordan Zébo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1692), separated by just 1 points.
Jordan Zébo enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Carlos Petruzzella finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Zébo 36%.
Carlos Petruzzella carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach71"
185 lbsWeight173 lbs
Brothers of Life MMATeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos PetruzzellaJordan Zébo