Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Prates vs Trevin Giles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Prates
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Carlos Prates

“The Nightmare”

24-7-0WelterweightUFC

1784Great
Trevin Giles
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Trevin Giles

“The Problem”

16-7-0WelterweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

24-7-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
78″Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vale Top TeamTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

Carlos Prates is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Trevin Giles carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos PratesNow 1784
If they win+8→ 1792
If they lose-16→ 1768
Trevin GilesNow 1662
If they win+21→ 1683
If they lose-11→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
55%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
48%
Strike defense
58%
0.21
Takedown avg.
1.07
100%
Takedown accuracy
50%
80%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Carlos PratesTrevin Giles
16501700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (79%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
3 (13%)
Submission
5 (31%)
2 (8%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Prates87%
Trevin Giles 13%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Prates a 87% favorite over Trevin Giles in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Carlos Prates holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1784 to 1662, a 122-point edge.

Carlos Prates enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlos Prates finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Giles 69%.

Carlos Prates carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.