Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Tardio vs Giannis Bachar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record9-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-Reach72"
140 lbsWeight176 lbs
Team Violencia CECTeamEFL Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos TardioNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Giannis BacharNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carlos TardioGiannis Bachar
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
8 (89%)
7 (58%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (25%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Tardio60%
Giannis Bachar 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Tardio a 60% favorite over Giannis Bachar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1641), separated by just 3 points.

Giannis Bachar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlos Tardio finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Giannis Bachar 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.