Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Ulberg vs Fabio Cherant

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Carlos Ulberg
nz

Carlos Ulberg

“Black Jag”

14-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1818Great
Fabio Cherant
us

Fabio Cherant

“The Water Buffalo”

7-5-0HeavyweightUMMA

1540Average

Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record7-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight250 lbs
City KickboxingTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Carlos Ulberg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Fabio Cherant carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos UlbergNow 1818
If they win+5→ 1823
If they lose-27→ 1791
Fabio CherantNow 1540
If they win+27→ 1567
If they lose-5→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.54
Sig. strikes / min
1.35
55%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.89
52%
Strike defense
38%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0
60%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
0%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos UlbergFabio Cherant
16001700180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (7%)
Submission
5 (71%)
4 (29%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Ulberg92%
Fabio Cherant 8%Elo baseline: 83%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 92% favorite over Fabio Cherant in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (83%).

Carlos Ulberg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1540, a 278-point edge.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Fabio Cherant enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Fabio Cherant 71%.

Carlos Ulberg and Fabio Cherant share 1 common opponent: Alonzo Menifield.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2024
Alonzo Menifield
LossSubmission · 2021