Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Ulberg vs Glover Teixeira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Ulberg
nz

Carlos Ulberg

“Black Jag”

14-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1818Great

Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record33-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
City KickboxingTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos UlbergNow 1818
If they win+16→ 1834
If they lose-16→ 1802
Glover TeixeiraNow 1811
If they win+12→ 1823
If they lose-12→ 1799

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
55%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.43
52%
Strike defense
51%
0.55
Takedown avg.
2.11
60%
Takedown accuracy
34%
86%
Takedown defense
60%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.94

Trajectory

Carlos UlbergGlover Teixeira
1700175018001850202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
18 (55%)
1 (7%)
Submission
10 (30%)
4 (29%)
Decision
5 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Ulberg79%
Glover Teixeira 21%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 79% favorite over Glover Teixeira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1818 vs 1811), separated by just 7 points.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Glover Teixeira 85%.

Carlos Ulberg and Glover Teixeira share 2 common opponents: Jiří Procházka and Jan Błachowicz.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinKO · 2026
Jiří Procházka
LossSubmission · 2022
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Jan Błachowicz
WinSubmission · 2021