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Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Ulberg vs Ihor Potieria

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Ulberg
nz

Carlos Ulberg

“Black Jag”

14-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1817Great

Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
City KickboxingTeamStandard Pro

What's at stake

Carlos Ulberg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ihor Potieria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos UlbergNow 1817
If they win+9→ 1826
If they lose-23→ 1794
Ihor PotieriaNow 1664
If they win+17→ 1681
If they lose-7→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.44
55%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.96
52%
Strike defense
51%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0.73
60%
Takedown accuracy
0%
86%
Takedown defense
67%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos UlbergIhor Potieria
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
9 (43%)
1 (7%)
Submission
7 (33%)
4 (29%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Ulberg83%
Ihor Potieria 17%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 83% favorite over Ihor Potieria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Carlos Ulberg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1817 to 1664, a 153-point edge.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ihor Potieria 76%.

Carlos Ulberg and Ihor Potieria share 1 common opponent: Nicolae Negumereanu.

Carlos Ulberg carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO · 2022
Nicolae Negumereanu
LossTKO · 2022