Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Ulberg vs Ihor Potieria

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Ulberg
nz

Carlos Ulberg

“Black Jag”

14-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1818Great

Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record20-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
City KickboxingTeamStandard Pro

What's at stake

Carlos Ulberg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ihor Potieria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos UlbergNow 1818
If they win+8→ 1826
If they lose-24→ 1794
Ihor PotieriaNow 1639
If they win+18→ 1657
If they lose-6→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.57
55%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.72
52%
Strike defense
51%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0.77
60%
Takedown accuracy
19%
86%
Takedown defense
67%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos UlbergIhor Potieria
16501700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (30%)
4 (29%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Ulberg92%
Ihor Potieria 8%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 92% favorite over Ihor Potieria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Carlos Ulberg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1639, a 179-point edge.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Ihor Potieria enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ihor Potieria 75%.

Carlos Ulberg and Ihor Potieria share 1 common opponent: Nicolae Negumereanu.

Carlos Ulberg carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO · 2022
Nicolae Negumereanu
LossTKO · 2022