Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Ulberg vs Jiří Procházka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Ulberg
nz

Carlos Ulberg

“Black Jag”

14-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1818Great

Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record32-6-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
77"Reach80"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
City KickboxingTeamJetsaam Gym Brno· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos UlbergNow 1818
If they win+15→ 1833
If they lose-17→ 1801
Jiří ProcházkaNow 1805
If they win+12→ 1817
If they lose-12→ 1793

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1730 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.54
Sig. strikes / min
5.69
55%
Strike accuracy
55%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.60
52%
Strike defense
46%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0.51
60%
Takedown accuracy
60%
86%
Takedown defense
68%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Carlos UlbergJiří Procházka
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
28 (88%)
1 (7%)
Submission
3 (9%)
4 (29%)
Decision
1 (3%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Ulberg53%
Jiří Procházka 47%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 53% favorite over Jiří Procházka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1818 vs 1805), separated by just 13 points.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jiří Procházka 97%.

Carlos Ulberg and Jiří Procházka share 2 common opponents: Dominick Reyes and Volkan Oezdemir.

Jiří Procházka carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinKO · 2025
Dominick Reyes
WinKO · 2021
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
Volkan Oezdemir
WinKO · 2020