Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Ulberg vs Nicolae Negumereanu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Carlos Ulberg
nz

Carlos Ulberg

“Black Jag”

14-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1818Great

Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record13-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
City KickboxingTeamKorona Sports Centre

What's at stake

Carlos Ulberg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nicolae Negumereanu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos UlbergNow 1818
If they win+10→ 1828
If they lose-22→ 1796
Nicolae NegumereanuNow 1682
If they win+22→ 1704
If they lose-10→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.58
55%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.56
52%
Strike defense
39%
0.55
Takedown avg.
1.02
60%
Takedown accuracy
29%
86%
Takedown defense
63%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos UlbergNicolae Negumereanu
165017001750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
1 (7%)
Submission
3 (23%)
4 (29%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Ulberg72%
Nicolae Negumereanu 28%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 72% favorite over Nicolae Negumereanu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Carlos Ulberg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1682, a 136-point edge.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nicolae Negumereanu 85%.

Carlos Ulberg and Nicolae Negumereanu share 1 common opponent: Ihor Potieria.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2023
Ihor Potieria
WinTKO · 2022