
Carlos Ulberg vs Volkan Oezdemir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Carlos Ulberg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Volkan Oezdemir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 76% favorite over Volkan Oezdemir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Carlos Ulberg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1719, a 99-point edge.
Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.
Carlos Ulberg and Volkan Oezdemir share 2 common opponents: Jiří Procházka and Alonzo Menifield.
Carlos Ulberg carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.