Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Ulberg vs Volkan Oezdemir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Ulberg
nz

Carlos Ulberg

“Black Jag”

14-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1818Great

Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
77"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
City KickboxingTeamFight Move Academy

What's at stake

Carlos Ulberg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Volkan Oezdemir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos UlbergNow 1818
If they win+12→ 1830
If they lose-20→ 1798
Volkan OezdemirNow 1719
If they win+20→ 1739
If they lose-12→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.95
55%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.22
52%
Strike defense
55%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0.50
60%
Takedown accuracy
29%
86%
Takedown defense
80%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Carlos UlbergVolkan Oezdemir
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (10%)
4 (29%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Ulberg76%
Volkan Oezdemir 24%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 76% favorite over Volkan Oezdemir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Carlos Ulberg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1719, a 99-point edge.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.

Carlos Ulberg and Volkan Oezdemir share 2 common opponents: Jiří Procházka and Alonzo Menifield.

Carlos Ulberg carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinKO/TKO · 2024
Alonzo Menifield
WinKO · 2025
WinKO · 2026
Jiří Procházka
LossKO · 2020