Carlos Ulberg vs Volkan Oezdemir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-1-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
77"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
City KickboxingTeamFight Move Academy· 1617 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Carlos Ulberg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Volkan Oezdemir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1829
If they lose-20→ 1797
If they win+20→ 1740
If they lose-12→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos UlbergVolkan Oezdemir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Ulberg76%
Volkan Oezdemir 24%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 76% favorite over Volkan Oezdemir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Carlos Ulberg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1817 to 1720, a 97-point edge.
Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.
Carlos Ulberg and Volkan Oezdemir share 2 common opponents: Jiří Procházka and Alonzo Menifield.
Carlos Ulberg carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.