Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Vera vs Ronnie Lawrence

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Vera
ec

Carlos Vera

“Pequeno”

12-4-0BantamweightUFC

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
69"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
50-50 BJJTeamMMA Science Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos VeraNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Ronnie LawrenceNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
48%
Strike accuracy
56%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.75
46%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
6.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
77%
0%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Carlos VeraRonnie Lawrence
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
6 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (42%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronnie Lawrence67%
Carlos Vera 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronnie Lawrence a 67% favorite over Carlos Vera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Vera's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1636), separated by just 3 points.

Carlos Vera finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ronnie Lawrence 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.