Carlton Minus vs Marcin Wrzosek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record14-7-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
75,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlton MinusMarcin Wrzosek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlton Minus52%
Marcin Wrzosek 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlton Minus a 52% favorite over Marcin Wrzosek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1598), separated by just 0 points.
Marcin Wrzosek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Wrzosek 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.