Carlton Minus vs Shadid Abdurazakov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Shadid Abdurazakov59%
Carlton Minus 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shadid Abdurazakov a 59% favorite over Carlton Minus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlton Minus's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.
Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Shadid Abdurazakov 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record13-6-1
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'9"
75,0"Reach-
170 lbsWeight172 lbs
Avalanche Wrestling AssociationTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlton MinusShadid Abdurazakov