Combat Edge Intelligence

Carol Araujo vs Julija Stoliarenko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record11-9-2
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach66"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Super Herois Artes MarciaisTeamFighter House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carol AraujoNow 1553
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529
Julija StoliarenkoNow 1551
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.49
Not available
Strike accuracy
39%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
Not available
Strike defense
46%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.93
Not available
Takedown accuracy
28%
Not available
Takedown defense
55%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.67

Trajectory

Carol AraujoJulija Stoliarenko
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
10 (91%)
3 (60%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Julija Stoliarenko60%
Carol Araujo 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Julija Stoliarenko a 60% favorite over Carol Araujo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carol Araujo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1551), separated by just 2 points.

Carol Araujo enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Julija Stoliarenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carol Araujo finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Julija Stoliarenko 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.