Carol Araujo vs Roxanne Modafferi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record25-20-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Super Herois Artes MarciaisTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carol AraujoRoxanne Modafferi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roxanne Modafferi59%
Carol Araujo 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Roxanne Modafferi a 59% favorite over Carol Araujo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1559), separated by just 3 points.
Carol Araujo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Carol Araujo finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Roxanne Modafferi 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.