Combat Edge Intelligence

Carol Araujo vs Victoria Leonardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record10-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
-Reach64"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Super Herois Artes MarciaisTeamElite Combat Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carol AraujoNow 1553
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529
Victoria LeonardoNow 1559
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.81
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.57
TBD
Takedown accuracy
28%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carol AraujoVictoria Leonardo
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (50%)
3 (60%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Carol Araujo79%
Victoria Leonardo 21%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Carol Araujo a 79% favorite over Victoria Leonardo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victoria Leonardo's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1559), separated by just 6 points.

Carol Araujo enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carol Araujo finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Victoria Leonardo 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.