Carol Araujo vs Victoria Leonardo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record10-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
-Reach64"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carol AraujoVictoria Leonardo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carol Araujo53%
Victoria Leonardo 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Carol Araujo a 53% favorite over Victoria Leonardo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victoria Leonardo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1560), separated by just 4 points.
Carol Araujo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carol Araujo finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Victoria Leonardo 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.