Carol Foro vs Stephanie Luciano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record8-2-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'6"
61"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
Carol Foro is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Stephanie Luciano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1706
If they lose-19→ 1674
If they win+19→ 1654
If they lose-13→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carol ForoStephanie Luciano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carol Foro60%
Stephanie Luciano 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Carol Foro a 60% favorite over Stephanie Luciano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Carol Foro holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1635, a 58-point edge.
Carol Foro enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Stephanie Luciano enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carol Foro finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Stephanie Luciano 50%.
Stephanie Luciano carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.