Combat Edge Intelligence

Casey Kenney vs Nathaniel Wood

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-1Record23-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70,0"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Rise Combat SportsTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Casey KenneyNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709
Nathaniel WoodNow 1733
If they win+12→ 1745
If they lose-12→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.85
Sig. strikes / min
5.74
43%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.32
58%
Strike defense
54%
1.09
Takedown avg.
1.46
36%
Takedown accuracy
50%
61%
Takedown defense
73%
0.43
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Casey KenneyNathaniel Wood
1700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
8 (35%)
5 (31%)
Submission
5 (22%)
9 (56%)
Decision
10 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathaniel Wood67%
Casey Kenney 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathaniel Wood a 67% favorite over Casey Kenney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1733), separated by just 8 points.

Casey Kenney enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Casey Kenney finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Nathaniel Wood 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.