Casey Kenney vs Ray Borg
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-1Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
70,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Rise Combat SportsTeamJackson's MMA Acoma
What's at stake
Ray Borg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Casey Kenney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1742
If they lose-15→ 1710
If they win+15→ 1755
If they lose-17→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Casey KenneyRay Borg
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ray Borg55%
Casey Kenney 45%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ray Borg a 55% favorite over Casey Kenney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Ray Borg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1725, a 15-point edge.
Casey Kenney enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ray Borg enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Casey Kenney finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Ray Borg 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.