Combat Edge Intelligence

Casey Kenney vs Ray Borg

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ray Borg
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Ray Borg

“The Tazmexican Devil”

16-5-0BantamweightEFC

1739Good

Tale of the tape

16-4-1Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
70,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Rise Combat SportsTeamJackson's MMA Acoma

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Casey KenneyNow 1725
If they win+17→ 1742
If they lose-15→ 1710
Ray BorgNow 1739
If they win+15→ 1754
If they lose-17→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.85
Sig. strikes / min
1.52
43%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.93
58%
Strike defense
48%
1.09
Takedown avg.
3.89
36%
Takedown accuracy
50%
61%
Takedown defense
47%
0.43
Submission avg.
1.04

Trajectory

Casey KenneyRay Borg
170017502019202020212022

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
5 (31%)
Submission
6 (38%)
9 (56%)
Decision
9 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Ray Borg60%
Casey Kenney 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Ray Borg a 60% favorite over Casey Kenney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1739), separated by just 14 points.

Casey Kenney enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ray Borg enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Casey Kenney finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Ray Borg 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.