Combat Edge Intelligence

Casey O'Neill vs Miranda Maverick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record15-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'3"
69"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Casey O'NeillNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Miranda MaverickNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.89
Sig. strikes / min
3.39
53%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
57%
Strike defense
61%
1.45
Takedown avg.
2.39
35%
Takedown accuracy
42%
70%
Takedown defense
44%
0.73
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Casey O'NeillMiranda Maverick
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
2 (18%)
Submission
7 (47%)
5 (45%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Casey O'Neill60%
Miranda Maverick 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Casey O'Neill a 60% favorite over Miranda Maverick in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miranda Maverick's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1691), separated by just 9 points.

Casey O'Neill enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Casey O'Neill finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Miranda Maverick 53%.

Casey O'Neill carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.