Casey O'Neill vs Rose Namajunas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeam303 Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1699
If they lose-15→ 1667
If they win+15→ 1710
If they lose-17→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Casey O'NeillRose Namajunas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Casey O'Neill60%
Rose Namajunas 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Casey O'Neill a 60% favorite over Rose Namajunas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rose Namajunas's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1695), separated by just 13 points.
Casey O'Neill enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Casey O'Neill finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Rose Namajunas 50%.
Casey O'Neill carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.