AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Casey O'Neill vs Rose Namajunas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeam303 Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Casey O'NeillNow 1702
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
Rose NamajunasNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.89
Sig. strikes / min
3.60
52%
Strike accuracy
42%
5.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
58%
Strike defense
64%
1.40
Takedown avg.
1.49
35%
Takedown accuracy
51%
70%
Takedown defense
63%
0.70
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Casey O'NeillRose Namajunas
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
3 (25%)
Submission
5 (36%)
5 (42%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Casey O'Neill53%
Rose Namajunas 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Casey O'Neill a 53% favorite over Rose Namajunas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1696), separated by just 6 points.

Casey O'Neill enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Casey O'Neill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Rose Namajunas 50%.

Casey O'Neill carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.