Combat Edge Intelligence

Casey Olson vs Mark Vologdin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Casey Olson
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Casey Olson

“The Underdog”

14-4-0BantamweightTPF

1620Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record12-5-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
TBDReach65"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
The PitTeamAllstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Casey OlsonNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Mark VologdinNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.80
Sig. strikes / min
6.93
63%
Strike accuracy
47%
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10
100%
Strike defense
41%
4
Takedown avg.
0.50
67%
Takedown accuracy
14%
100%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Casey OlsonMark Vologdin
1600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
4 (29%)
Submission
4 (33%)
6 (43%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Vologdin60%
Casey Olson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Vologdin a 60% favorite over Casey Olson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.

Casey Olson finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Mark Vologdin 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.