Casey Ryan vs Ricky Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'4"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight160 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1677 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Casey RyanRicky Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricky Miller58%
Casey Ryan 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Miller a 58% favorite over Casey Ryan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Casey Ryan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.
Casey Ryan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Miller 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.