Cathal Pendred vs Kaik Brito
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-1Record20-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75,0"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamBlack Thai Team
What's at stake
Kaik Brito is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cathal Pendred carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1710
If they lose-15→ 1678
If they win+11→ 1729
If they lose-13→ 1705
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cathal PendredKaik Brito
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kaik Brito88%
Cathal Pendred 12%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Kaik Brito a 88% favorite over Cathal Pendred in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Kaik Brito holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1693, a 25-point edge.
Cathal Pendred enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kaik Brito enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Cathal Pendred finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Kaik Brito 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.